Us Recession 2025 News Headlines. Incoming data has made us reassess our prior view of a coming recession that had already been pushed into 2025, gapen wrote. The economy has repeatedly defied predictions of a downturn since the pandemic recovery began.

For much of 2025, it appeared the federal reserve had successfully navigated a tricky line, tempering the hottest inflation in four decades while keeping the. At one point in the fall of 2022, a model by bloomberg projected a 100% risk of a us recession over the following 12 months.